{"id":4507,"date":"2025-12-10T19:44:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T16:44:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/2025\/12\/10\/kuresel-et-krizi-kapida-paramiz-olsa-da-ithal-edecek-hayvan-bulamayacagiz\/"},"modified":"2025-12-10T19:44:00","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T16:44:00","slug":"kuresel-et-krizi-kapida-paramiz-olsa-da-ithal-edecek-hayvan-bulamayacagiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/2025\/12\/10\/kuresel-et-krizi-kapida-paramiz-olsa-da-ithal-edecek-hayvan-bulamayacagiz\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel et krizi kap\u0131da: Param\u0131z olsa da ithal edecek hayvan bulamayaca\u011f\u0131z!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Tar\u0131m Politikalar\u0131 Uzman\u0131 Ergin Kahveci, 2025\u20132026 d\u00f6nemine ili\u015fkin d\u00fcnya et projeksiyonunu payla\u015farak, \u00f6zellikle canl\u0131 hayvan ve et ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in kritik uyar\u0131larda bulundu. Kahveci, d\u00fcnya et ticareti projeksiyonuna g\u00f6re 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda hem k\u00fcresel s\u0131\u011f\u0131r s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fc hem de buza\u011f\u0131 varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n e\u015fzamanl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde d\u00fc\u015fece\u011finin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirterek, bu tablonun yak\u0131n vadede t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada arz daralmas\u0131 ve y\u00fcksek fiyat riskini b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcrken, T\u00fcrkiye gibi d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in daha a\u011f\u0131r sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi.<\/p>\n

\"EtD\u00fcnya s\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti \u00fcretimi 1 milyon ton azalacak<\/h3>\n

2026\u2019da k\u00fcresel s\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti \u00fcretiminin 61 milyon tondan 60 milyon tona d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor. T\u00fcketim taraf\u0131nda da yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 1,12\u2019lik bir gerileme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Toplam s\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti ihracat\u0131nda 2025\u2019e g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1, son be\u015f y\u0131la g\u00f6re ise y\u00fczde 19\u2019luk d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklenirken, ithalat taraf\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f sadece 100 bin tonla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalacak.<\/p>\n

S\u0131\u011f\u0131r varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 be\u015f y\u0131l\u0131n dibine geriliyor<\/h3>\n

K\u00fcresel toplam s\u0131\u011f\u0131r varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 2023\u2019teki yakla\u015f\u0131k 944 milyon ba\u015f seviyesinden y\u00fczde 4,3 d\u00fc\u015ferek 903 milyon ba\u015fa gerileyecek. Buza\u011f\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 ise 2022\u2019deki 290 milyon ba\u015ftan y\u00fczde 4,35 azalarak 277,7 milyon ba\u015fa inecek.
\nKahveci, s\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki bu e\u015fzamanl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe dikkat \u00e7ekerek, \u201cToplam hayvan say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ve do\u011fan buza\u011f\u0131 miktar\u0131n\u0131n birlikte azalmas\u0131, k\u0131sa vadede k\u00fcresel et arz\u0131nda ciddi daralma anlam\u0131na geliyor” dedi.<\/p>\n

\"Et<\/p>\n

Brezilya\u2019n\u0131n daralmas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in en kritik risk<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin y\u0131llard\u0131r en fazla canl\u0131 besilik hayvan temin etti\u011fi Brezilya\u2019da 2026 \u00fcretimi y\u00fczde 5 d\u00fc\u015fecek. S\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc de 2025\u2019e g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 4,36, 2023\u2019e g\u00f6re ise y\u00fczde 8,3 azalacak. Bu durumu yorumlayan Kahveci, \u201cParam\u0131z olsa bile alacak hayvan bulamayaca\u011f\u0131z ya da k\u00fcresel fiyatlar\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde hayvan almak zorunda kalaca\u011f\u0131z\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n

Uruguay istikrarl\u0131 ama yetmiyor<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrkiye’nin bir di\u011fer canl\u0131 hayvan ithal etti\u011fi Uruguay’da ise canl\u0131 hayvan stoklar\u0131nda son be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k bir istikrar s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funu belirten Kahveci, “S\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti \u00fcretiminde de ayn\u0131 istikrar\u0131 g\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Ancak zaten hem \u00fcretim hem de ihracat a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan dar kapasiteye sahip olan Uruguay piyasas\u0131na bel ba\u011flamak sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor” dedi.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n

Meksika’da hastal\u0131k nedeniyle hayvan arz\u0131 artt\u0131!<\/h3>\n

Arjantin ve Meksika’n\u0131n 2026 canl\u0131 hayvan projeksiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 da de\u011ferlendiren Kahveci, bu iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda ithalat a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha avantajl\u0131 duran\u0131n Meksika oldu\u011funu kaydetti. Meksika’da 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen NWS hastal\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle, ihracat\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in hayvan arz kapasitesinin y\u00fczde 5 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getiren Kahveci, canl\u0131 hayvan ithalat\u0131nda hastal\u0131k takibi ko\u015fuluyla bu \u00fclkenin de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fini ancak riskin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu dile getirdi.<\/p>\n

Meksika’y\u0131 ise karkas et ithalat\u0131nda daha uygun pozisyonda g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc kaydeden Kahveci, “\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 26’ya kadar ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bekleniyor. Arjantin ise bu y\u0131l ABD ithalat\u0131 i\u00e7in Meksika’n\u0131n bo\u015flu\u011funu doldurdu\u011fu i\u00e7in, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 da buradaki ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 ile ge\u00e7irecektir. F\u0131rsat penceresi olarak s\u0131k\u0131 takip edilmesini \u00f6neriyorum” dedi.<\/p>\n

Avustralya y\u00fckselen tek b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcretici<\/h3>\n

D\u00fcnya et piyasas\u0131nda en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi g\u00f6steren \u00fclkenin Avustralya oldu\u011funu belirten Kahveci, 2021\u2019e g\u00f6re s\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc y\u00fczde 19 artarak 27,4 milyon ba\u015fa, s\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti \u00fcretiminin ise y\u00fczde 51 artarak 2,9 milyon tona \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Kahveci, “Avustralya, hem canl\u0131 hayvan hem de et tedariki i\u00e7in uzun vadede en g\u00fcvenilir adres olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor” dedi.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in sonu\u00e7: Piyasa daral\u0131yor, risk b\u00fcy\u00fcyor<\/h3>\n

K\u00fcresel s\u00fcr\u00fc k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi, artan fiyatlar, ana tedarik\u00e7i \u00fclkelerin d\u00fc\u015fen kapasitesi ve ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ithalata dayal\u0131 et politikalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemezli\u011fini daha g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr hale getiriyor. Kahveci, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti: “K\u00fcresel piyasalarda, s\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti ve canl\u0131 s\u0131\u011f\u0131r arz\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nem daralma d\u00f6nemi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Umar\u0131m, k\u00fcresel piyasalar do\u011fru okunur, do\u011fru kurumsal d\u00fczenlemeler ve d\u00fczenleyici kurumlar olu\u015fturulur, k\u00fcresel piyasay\u0131 takip edecek kamusal ajanslar kurulur ve halk\u0131m\u0131z y\u0131llard\u0131r bile isteye i\u00e7ine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve bana g\u00f6re en az 9-12 y\u0131l i\u00e7inden \u00e7\u0131kamayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z bu girdaptan kurtulur ve ucuz, g\u00fcvenilir s\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti arz’\u0131na kavu\u015fur”<\/p>\n

\n <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tar\u0131m Politikalar\u0131 Uzman\u0131 Ergin Kahveci, 2025\u20132026 d\u00f6nemine ili\u015fkin d\u00fcnya et projeksiyonunu payla\u015farak, \u00f6zellikle canl\u0131 hayvan ve et ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in kritik uyar\u0131larda bulundu. Kahveci, d\u00fcnya et ticareti projeksiyonuna g\u00f6re 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda hem k\u00fcresel s\u0131\u011f\u0131r s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fc hem de buza\u011f\u0131 varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n e\u015fzamanl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde d\u00fc\u015fece\u011finin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirterek, bu tablonun yak\u0131n vadede t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada arz daralmas\u0131 ve y\u00fcksek …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4508,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4507","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-tarim-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4507","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4507"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4507\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4508"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4507"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4507"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4507"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}