{"id":5318,"date":"2026-08-21T08:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-08-21T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/08\/21\/turkiyenin-yakindan-bildigi-hayvancilik-krizi-abdyi-vurdu-bedeli-agir-oluyor\/"},"modified":"2026-08-21T08:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-08-21T05:00:00","slug":"turkiyenin-yakindan-bildigi-hayvancilik-krizi-abdyi-vurdu-bedeli-agir-oluyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/08\/21\/turkiyenin-yakindan-bildigi-hayvancilik-krizi-abdyi-vurdu-bedeli-agir-oluyor\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yak\u0131ndan bildi\u011fi hayvanc\u0131l\u0131k krizi ABD\u2019yi vurdu: Bedeli a\u011f\u0131r oluyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Haber Merkezi \/<\/strong> Hayvanc\u0131l\u0131kta bir \u00fclkenin sahip oldu\u011fu s\u0131\u011f\u0131r say\u0131s\u0131 yaln\u0131zca istatistiklerden ibaret de\u011fil. S\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ayn\u0131 zamanda o \u00fclkenin gelecekte ne kadar et \u00fcretebilece\u011fini belirleyen biyolojik \u00fcretim kapasitesini ifade ediyor.<\/p>\n

ABD’nin bug\u00fcn ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 geli\u015fmeler bunun \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6rneklerinden birini olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

Tar\u0131m politikalar\u0131 uzman\u0131 Ergin Kahveci’nin ABD Tar\u0131m Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 verileri \u00fczerinden yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirme, s\u0131\u011f\u0131r s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fcndeki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmenin et piyasas\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 noktalar\u0131nda nas\u0131l birbirini besleyen sorunlara d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

ABD’DE SI\u011eIR VARLI\u011eI 86,2 M\u0130LYON BA\u015eA GER\u0130LED\u0130<\/h3>\n

ABD Tar\u0131m Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na (USDA) ba\u011fl\u0131 Ulusal Tar\u0131m \u0130statistikleri Servisi NASS’\u0131n verilerine g\u00f6re, 1 Ocak 2026 itibar\u0131yla \u00fclkedeki toplam s\u0131\u011f\u0131r ve buza\u011f\u0131 varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 86,2 milyon ba\u015fa geriledi.<\/p>\n

Daha \u00f6nemlisi, gelecekteki et \u00fcretiminin temelini olu\u015fturan et\u00e7i ana\u00e7 inek say\u0131s\u0131 27,6 milyon ba\u015fa d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Et\u00e7i ana\u00e7 say\u0131s\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re de y\u00fczde 1 azal\u0131rken, 2025’te do\u011fan buza\u011f\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 y\u00fczde 2 gerileyerek 32,9 milyon ba\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

Besi i\u015fletmelerindeki s\u0131\u011f\u0131r varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 da y\u00fczde 3 azald\u0131.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n

Bu rakamlar yaln\u0131zca bug\u00fcnk\u00fc et arz\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fil, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde kesime gelecek hayvan say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 da do\u011frudan ilgilendiriyor.<\/p>\n

\"Sigir<\/p>\n

S\u00dcR\u00dcY\u00dc K\u00dc\u00c7\u00dcLTMEK KOLAY, YEN\u0130DEN B\u00dcY\u00dcTMEK ZOR<\/h3>\n

Kahveci’nin analizinde dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fi temel nokta da burada ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bir sanayi tesisinde kapasite azalt\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra \u015fartlar de\u011fi\u015fti\u011finde \u00fcretim yeniden art\u0131r\u0131labilir. Hayvanc\u0131l\u0131kta ise ayn\u0131 esneklik bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n

S\u0131\u011f\u0131r s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fctmek i\u00e7in di\u015fi hayvanlar\u0131n kesime g\u00f6nderilmemesi, dam\u0131zl\u0131kta tutulmas\u0131, gebe kalmas\u0131, buza\u011f\u0131lamas\u0131 ve do\u011fan hayvanlar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek \u00fcretim zincirine girmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle s\u00fcr\u00fc varl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda y\u0131llar i\u00e7inde olu\u015fan kay\u0131p k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede yerine konulam\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Kahveci bu durumu, \u201cGidi\u015finin maliyeti bir ise geli\u015finin maliyeti \u00fc\u00e7 olur<\/strong>\u201d s\u00f6zleriyle \u00f6zetledi.<\/p>\n

\u00dcstelik s\u00fcr\u00fcy\u00fc yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fctmeye karar verildi\u011finde di\u015fi hayvanlar\u0131n kesimden \u00e7ekilmesi gerekiyor. Bu da k\u0131sa vadede piyasaya sunulacak et miktar\u0131n\u0131 daha da s\u0131n\u0131rlayabiliyor.<\/p>\n

S\u00dcR\u00dc AZALDI, ABD’N\u0130N ET \u0130THALATI ARTIYOR<\/h3>\n

S\u0131\u011f\u0131r varl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki daralman\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan biri ABD’nin d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ette g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

USDA Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Servisinin uluslararas\u0131 hayvanc\u0131l\u0131k ve et ticareti verilerine g\u00f6re ABD, i\u00e7 piyasadaki arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 giderek daha fazla ithalatla dengelemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. USDA’n\u0131n A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda g\u00fcncelledi\u011fi veri seti \u00fclke baz\u0131nda s\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti ticaretindeki de\u011fi\u015fimi de ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

Kahveci’nin USDA verilerinden yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 hesaplamaya g\u00f6re, 2026’n\u0131n ilk alt\u0131 ay\u0131nda ABD’nin s\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti ithalat\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 3,3 milyar pounda, yani 1,5 milyon tona ula\u015ft\u0131. \u0130thalat ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 12 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Haziran ay\u0131nda ise ithalat\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 24 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekiliyor.<\/p>\n

USDA’n\u0131n Temmuz ay\u0131ndaki piyasa g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnde de 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 toplam s\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti ithalat\u0131n\u0131n 6,059 milyar pounda ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor. Ayn\u0131 raporda 2026 ve 2027 et \u00fcretim beklentileri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilirken, s\u0131\u011f\u0131r fiyat beklentileri yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n

ABD DAHA FAZLA ET \u0130THAL ETMEK ZORUNDA KALIYOR<\/h3>\n

\u0130thalattaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u00fclke da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 da dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

Kahveci’nin aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilere g\u00f6re 2026’n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda \u00f6zellikle Avustralya’dan yap\u0131lan s\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti ithalat\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde y\u00fckseldi. Avustralya’y\u0131 Meksika izlerken Yeni Zelanda, Arjantin, Paraguay ve Nikaragua’dan yap\u0131lan al\u0131mlarda da art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck tar\u0131m ekonomilerinden biri, kendi s\u0131\u011f\u0131r s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fcndeki daralmay\u0131 d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan daha fazla et sat\u0131n alarak dengelemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ancak ithalat, kaybedilen \u00fcretim kapasitesini geri getirmiyor.<\/p>\n

ET PAHALI AMA KES\u0130MHANELER DE ZARAR ED\u0130YOR<\/h3>\n

ABD’deki paradoks yaln\u0131zca \u00fcretici ve t\u00fcketici aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

S\u0131\u011f\u0131r say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131, \u00fclkenin dev et i\u015fleme \u015firketlerini de zorlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

S\u0131\u011f\u0131r arz\u0131 darald\u0131k\u00e7a kesimhanelerin hayvan temin maliyeti y\u00fckselirken tesislerin kapasite kullan\u0131m oranlar\u0131 bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. B\u00f6ylece t\u00fcketicinin y\u00fcksek fiyatla et sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir piyasada, eti i\u015fleyen \u015firketler de zarar edebiliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu durumun en \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6rneklerinden biri Tyson Foods’ta ya\u015fan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u015eirket a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda ABD’deki \u00fc\u00e7 s\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti tesisini kapatma veya satma karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Tyson’\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 faaliyet zarar\u0131n\u0131n 650 milyon dolara kadar \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi belirtiliyor. \u015eirketin kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya bulundu\u011fu temel sorunlardan biri de tarihsel olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelere inen s\u0131\u011f\u0131r arz\u0131 ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 y\u00fcksek canl\u0131 hayvan maliyetleri.<\/p>\n

SI\u011eIR AZALIYOR, ET PAHALANIYOR, \u0130THALAT ARTIYOR, TES\u0130SLER KAPANIYOR<\/h3>\n

ABD’deki geli\u015fmeler yan yana getirildi\u011finde hayvanc\u0131l\u0131ktaki zincir daha net g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

S\u0131\u011f\u0131r s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fc k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcyor \u2192 buza\u011f\u0131 arz\u0131 azal\u0131yor \u2192 kesilecek hayvan say\u0131s\u0131 daral\u0131yor \u2192 canl\u0131 hayvan fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckseliyor \u2192 et \u00fcretimi bask\u0131lan\u0131yor \u2192 t\u00fcketici daha pahal\u0131 etle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor \u2192 ithalat ihtiyac\u0131 art\u0131yor.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7 et sanayisini de etkiliyor:<\/p>\n

S\u0131\u011f\u0131r arz\u0131 azal\u0131yor \u2192 kesimhanelerin hayvan maliyeti y\u00fckseliyor \u2192 kapasite kullan\u0131m\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor \u2192 i\u015fleme maliyeti art\u0131yor \u2192 \u015firketlerin zararlar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyor \u2192 baz\u0131 tesisler kapan\u0131yor.<\/strong><\/p>\n

B\u00f6ylece s\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki sorun yaln\u0131zca \u00e7iftli\u011fi de\u011fil, \u00fcreticiden kesimhaneye, ithalattan t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131na kadar b\u00fct\u00fcn et piyasas\u0131n\u0131 etkiliyor.<\/p>\n

ET F\u0130YATI SORUNU ASLINDA S\u00dcR\u00dc Y\u00d6NET\u0130M\u0130 SORUNU MU?<\/h3>\n

ABD \u00f6rne\u011finin T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 en \u00f6nemli mesaj da burada bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Et fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseldi\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde tart\u0131\u015fmalar \u00e7o\u011funlukla k\u0131sa vadeli arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131na ve ithalata odaklan\u0131yor. Oysa ABD’nin ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7, hayvanc\u0131l\u0131k politikas\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca bug\u00fcn piyasaya ka\u00e7 ton et sunuldu\u011fuyla de\u011ferlendirilemeyece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ithal edilen et k\u0131sa vadede piyasadaki arz\u0131 art\u0131rabilir ancak \u00fclkedeki ana\u00e7 hayvan varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yerini tutmaz.<\/p>\n

Ana\u00e7 s\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi, gelecekte do\u011facak buza\u011f\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla birka\u00e7 y\u0131l sonraki et \u00fcretim kapasitesinin de azalmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle hayvanc\u0131l\u0131k politikas\u0131nda kritik g\u00f6sterge yaln\u0131zca mevcut et \u00fcretimi veya t\u00fcketici fiyat\u0131 de\u011fil, \u00fcretimin devaml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak ana\u00e7 s\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fi.<\/p>\n

T\u00dcRK\u0130YE \u0130\u00c7\u0130N ASIL SORU: YARININ ET\u0130N\u0130 \u00dcRETECEK KA\u00c7 ANA\u00c7 HAYVAN VAR?<\/h3>\n

ABD’nin bug\u00fcn kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 tablo, hayvanc\u0131l\u0131kta kaybedilen s\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn yeniden olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar maliyetli ve zaman al\u0131c\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

K\u0131sa vadeli arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ithalatla kapat\u0131labilir. Ancak s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir g\u0131da arz\u0131, \u00fclkenin kendi biyolojik \u00fcretim kapasitesini korumas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken mesele sadece \u201cBug\u00fcn ka\u00e7 ton et \u00fcretiyoruz?\u201d<\/strong> olmamal\u0131.<\/p>\n

As\u0131l soru \u015fu olmal\u0131;<\/p>\n

Yar\u0131n ihtiya\u00e7 duyaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z eti \u00fcretecek ka\u00e7 ana\u00e7 hayvan\u0131m\u0131z var ve bu s\u00fcr\u00fcy\u00fc koruyacak bir hayvanc\u0131l\u0131k politikam\u0131z bulunuyor mu?<\/strong><\/p>\n

ABD’nin 75 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine gerileyen s\u0131\u011f\u0131r varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bug\u00fcn ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 maliyet, bu sorunun \u00f6nemini b\u00fct\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

\"Abd<\/p>\n

\n <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Haber Merkezi \/ Hayvanc\u0131l\u0131kta bir \u00fclkenin sahip oldu\u011fu s\u0131\u011f\u0131r say\u0131s\u0131 yaln\u0131zca istatistiklerden ibaret de\u011fil. S\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ayn\u0131 zamanda o \u00fclkenin gelecekte ne kadar et \u00fcretebilece\u011fini belirleyen biyolojik \u00fcretim kapasitesini ifade ediyor. ABD’nin bug\u00fcn ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 geli\u015fmeler bunun \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6rneklerinden birini olu\u015fturuyor. Tar\u0131m politikalar\u0131 uzman\u0131 Ergin Kahveci’nin ABD Tar\u0131m Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 verileri \u00fczerinden yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirme, s\u0131\u011f\u0131r s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fcndeki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmenin …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5319,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5318","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-tarim-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5318","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5318"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5318\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5319"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5318"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5318"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5318"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}