{"id":5334,"date":"2026-08-23T11:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-08-23T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/08\/23\/yillardir-yurt-disindan-inek-getiriyoruz-turkiyenin-inek-sayisinda-ortaya-cikan-tablo-sasirtti\/"},"modified":"2026-08-23T11:30:00","modified_gmt":"2026-08-23T08:30:00","slug":"yillardir-yurt-disindan-inek-getiriyoruz-turkiyenin-inek-sayisinda-ortaya-cikan-tablo-sasirtti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/08\/23\/yillardir-yurt-disindan-inek-getiriyoruz-turkiyenin-inek-sayisinda-ortaya-cikan-tablo-sasirtti\/","title":{"rendered":"Y\u0131llard\u0131r yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan inek getiriyoruz! T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin inek say\u0131s\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tablo \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Haber Merkezi \/<\/strong> T\u00fcrkiye’nin k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 et ve s\u00fct \u00fcretimindeki temel sorunlar\u0131ndan biri olan s\u00fcr\u00fc varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, dam\u0131zl\u0131k hayvan ithalat\u0131na ili\u015fkin dikkat \u00e7ekici verilerle yeniden g\u00fcndeme geldi.<\/p>\n

Tar\u0131m politikalar\u0131 uzman\u0131 Ergin Kahveci, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin sa\u011fmal inek varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile y\u0131llard\u0131r devam eden dam\u0131zl\u0131k di\u015fi ithalat\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cDert b\u00fcy\u00fcyor, s\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fcyor!\u201d<\/strong> ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 makalesinde, hayvanc\u0131l\u0131k politikalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne nas\u0131l yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekici verilerle ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n

Kahveci, FAOSTAT’ta yer alan sa\u011fmal inek say\u0131lar\u0131 ile T\u00fcrkiye’nin y\u0131llar itibar\u0131yla yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 dam\u0131zl\u0131k di\u015fi s\u0131\u011f\u0131r ithalat\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rarak, uygulanan hayvanc\u0131l\u0131k politikalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczerindeki sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 analiz etti.<\/p>\n

Kahveci’nin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 \u00f6nemli bir soruyu g\u00fcndeme getirdi.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye y\u0131llard\u0131r s\u00fcr\u00fcy\u00fc geli\u015ftirmek amac\u0131yla y\u00fcz binlerce dam\u0131zl\u0131k di\u015fi hayvan ithal ederken, sa\u011fmal inek s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fc neden ayn\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde b\u00fcy\u00fcmedi?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Sagilan<\/p>\n

13,5 YILDA 820 B\u0130N DAMIZLIK D\u0130\u015e\u0130 \u0130THAL ED\u0130LD\u0130<\/h3>\n

Kahveci’nin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda yer verdi\u011fi verilere g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye, 2013 ile 2026’n\u0131n ilk 6 ay\u0131n\u0131 kapsayan d\u00f6nemde toplam 820 bin 388 ba\u015f dam\u0131zl\u0131k di\u015fi b\u00fcy\u00fckba\u015f hayvan ithal etti.<\/p>\n

Bu hayvanlar i\u00e7in \u00f6denen toplam tutar ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 milyar 965 milyon dolar oldu.<\/p>\n

Buna g\u00f6re ithal edilen dam\u0131zl\u0131k di\u015filerin ortalama maliyeti hayvan ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 2 bin 396 dolar olarak hesapland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmadaki bu rakamlar\u0131n yaln\u0131zca dam\u0131zl\u0131k di\u015fi ithalat\u0131n\u0131 kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00f6zellikle dikkat \u00e7ekildi. Besilik s\u0131\u011f\u0131r ithalat\u0131 hesaplamaya dahil edilmedi.<\/p>\n

\"Turkiye<\/h3>\n

2025 VE 2026’DA DA \u0130THALAT DEVAM ETT\u0130<\/h3>\n

Dam\u0131zl\u0131k ithalat\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fte kalan bir politika olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7eken Kahveci, son 1,5 y\u0131ll\u0131k verileri de ortaya koydu. Buna g\u00f6re 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda 68 bin 707 ba\u015f dam\u0131zl\u0131k di\u015fi ithalat\u0131 i\u00e7in 139,2 milyon dolar \u00f6dendi.<\/p>\n

2026’n\u0131n ilk 6 ay\u0131nda ise 56 bin 681 ba\u015f dam\u0131zl\u0131k di\u015fi i\u00e7in 122 milyon dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde \u00f6deme yap\u0131ld\u0131. B\u00f6ylece yaln\u0131zca 2025 ile 2026’n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda 125 bin 388 ba\u015f dam\u0131zl\u0131k di\u015fi ithal edilirken, \u00f6denen tutar yakla\u015f\u0131k 261,3 milyon dolara ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

2013’TEN 2024’E SA\u011eMAL \u0130NEK SAYISI NE KADAR ARTTI?<\/h3>\n

Kahveci’nin analizinin dikkat \u00e7eken k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 ise sa\u011fmal inek varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile dam\u0131zl\u0131k ithalat\u0131n\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 olu\u015fturdu.<\/p>\n

\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmada kullan\u0131lan FAOSTAT verilerine g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye’nin sa\u011fmal inek varl\u0131\u011f\u0131;<\/p>\n

2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda 5 milyon 607 bin 272 ba\u015f iken,<\/strong><\/p>\n

2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda 6 milyon 225 bin ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Buna g\u00f6re 11 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemde sa\u011fmal inek say\u0131s\u0131ndaki net art\u0131\u015f:<\/p>\n

617 bin 728 ba\u015f<\/strong> oldu.<\/p>\n

Kahveci’nin hesaplamas\u0131na g\u00f6re ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye yakla\u015f\u0131k 694 bin 900 ba\u015f <\/strong>dam\u0131zl\u0131k di\u015fi ithal etti.<\/p>\n

Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan bu kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma, T\u00fcrkiye’nin dam\u0131zl\u0131k ithalat\u0131ndan sa\u011fmal s\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne beklenen katk\u0131y\u0131 sa\u011flay\u0131p sa\u011flayamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorusunu g\u00fcndeme getirdi.<\/p>\n

\"Turkiye<\/h3>\n

694 B\u0130N DAMIZLIK \u0130THALATINA KAR\u015eI 617 B\u0130N BA\u015eLIK NET ARTI\u015e<\/h3>\n

Burada \u00f6nemli bir ayr\u0131m bulunuyor. Dam\u0131zl\u0131k ithalat\u0131yla sa\u011fmal s\u00fcr\u00fcdeki net art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bire bir kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmak tek ba\u015f\u0131na s\u00fcr\u00fc performans\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7meye yetmiyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde ya\u015flanan ineklerin s\u00fcr\u00fcden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131, kesimler, \u00f6l\u00fcmler, hastal\u0131klar, d\u00f6l verimi, buza\u011f\u0131 kay\u0131plar\u0131 ve i\u015fletmelerin \u00fcretimden \u00e7ekilmesi gibi \u00e7ok say\u0131da fakt\u00f6r toplam hayvan varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 etkiliyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak Kahveci’nin analizinin sorgulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 nokta da tam olarak burada ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

D\u0131\u015far\u0131dan yakla\u015f\u0131k 695 bin ba\u015f dam\u0131zl\u0131k<\/strong> di\u015fi hayvan\u0131n s\u00fcr\u00fcye dahil edildi\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde, sa\u011fmal s\u00fcr\u00fcdeki net art\u0131\u015f neden bunun bile alt\u0131nda kald\u0131?<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n

Bir ba\u015fka ifadeyle, ithalat T\u00fcrkiye’de kal\u0131c\u0131 bir s\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi mi sa\u011flad\u0131, yoksa b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sistem i\u00e7indeki hayvan kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 ve s\u00fcr\u00fcden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 telafi etmek i\u00e7in mi kullan\u0131ld\u0131?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130THALAT OLMASAYDI S\u00dcR\u00dc NE KADAR OLMALIYDI?<\/h3>\n

Kahveci \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda bununla da yetinmeyerek, sa\u011fmal s\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,5 ve y\u00fczde 3 oranlar\u0131nda istikrarl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc iki ayr\u0131 projeksiyon haz\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

2007 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki 4 milyon 229 bin 440 ba\u015fl\u0131k sa\u011fmal s\u00fcr\u00fcy\u00fc <\/strong>ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 noktas\u0131 olarak alan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, hi\u00e7 dam\u0131zl\u0131k ithalat\u0131 yap\u0131lmadan s\u00fcr\u00fc her y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcseydi 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 6 milyon 436 bin ba\u015fa <\/strong>ula\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyordu.<\/p>\n

Y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 3 b\u00fcy\u00fcme varsay\u0131m\u0131nda ise say\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 6 milyon 991 bin ba\u015fa<\/strong> \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n

Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen say\u0131 ise: 6 milyon 225 bin ba\u015f.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Buna g\u00f6re fiili sa\u011fmal varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, Kahveci’nin ithalats\u0131z biyolojik b\u00fcy\u00fcme senaryosunun bile yakla\u015f\u0131k 210 bin<\/strong> ile 766 bin <\/strong>ba\u015f alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130THAL ED\u0130LEN DAMIZLIKLAR DA HESABA KATILINCA FARK B\u00dcY\u00dcYOR<\/h3>\n

Analizin en dikkat \u00e7ekici sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan biri ise yap\u0131lan dam\u0131zl\u0131k ithalat\u0131n\u0131n projeksiyona dahil edilmesiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Kahveci’nin hesaplamas\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,5 biyolojik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00fczerine ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen dam\u0131zl\u0131k ithalatlar\u0131 eklendi\u011finde, 2024 sa\u011fmal s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn teorik b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k:<\/p>\n

7 milyon 211 bin ba\u015f<\/strong> olacakt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Y\u00fczde 3 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ithalat senaryosunda ise: 7 milyon 775 bin ba\u015f.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Fiili say\u0131 ise 6 milyon 225 bin ba\u015f <\/strong>oldu.<\/p>\n

B\u00f6ylece Kahveci’nin olu\u015fturdu\u011fu iki senaryoya g\u00f6re ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen sa\u011fmal inek varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile teorik s\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aras\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k: 986 bin<\/strong> ile 1 milyon 550 bin ba\u015fl\u0131k <\/strong>fark ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan bu fark, T\u00fcrkiye’nin y\u0131llard\u0131r uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 dam\u0131zl\u0131k ithalat\u0131 politikas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fctme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan etkinli\u011finin sorgulanmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirdi.<\/p>\n

\"Damizlik<\/p>\n

ASIL SORU: \u0130THALAT S\u00dcR\u00dcY\u00dc M\u00dc B\u00dcY\u00dcT\u00dcYOR, KAYIPLARI MI KAPATIYOR?<\/h3>\n

Analizin hayvanc\u0131l\u0131k politikalar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en kritik noktas\u0131 da burada bulunuyor. Dam\u0131zl\u0131k hayvan ithalat\u0131n\u0131n temel ama\u00e7lar\u0131ndan biri yaln\u0131zca ithal edilen hayvan kadar s\u00fcr\u00fcy\u00fc art\u0131rmak de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

\u0130thal edilen dam\u0131zl\u0131k di\u015fi s\u00fcr\u00fcye kat\u0131l\u0131yor, do\u011furuyor; elde edilen di\u015fi buza\u011f\u0131lar\u0131n bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc ilerleyen y\u0131llarda dam\u0131zl\u0131k s\u00fcr\u00fcye dahil oluyor ve b\u00f6ylece d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan getirilen genetik materyalin s\u00fcr\u00fc \u00fczerinde k\u00fcm\u00fclatif bir etkisinin olu\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak y\u0131llard\u0131r devam eden ithalata ra\u011fmen sa\u011fmal s\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn beklenen \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde b\u00fcy\u00fcmemesi \u015fu soruyu beraberinde getiriyor: T\u00fcrkiye dam\u0131zl\u0131k ithalat\u0131yla s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor mu, yoksa ithalatla s\u00fcr\u00fcdeki kay\u0131plar\u0131 m\u0131 telafi ediyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n

E\u011fer ikinci durum ge\u00e7erliyse, hayvanc\u0131l\u0131k politikas\u0131nda tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken konunun ka\u00e7 ba\u015f hayvan ithal edilece\u011finden \u00e7ok, mevcut s\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn neden s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir \u015fekilde b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fclemedi\u011fi oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

KAHVEC\u0130: RAKAMLARI DE\u011e\u0130L FONKS\u0130YONLARI B\u00dcY\u00dcTMEK GEREK\u0130YOR<\/h3>\n

Kahveci, \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kan sonucu \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 bir ifadeyle de\u011ferlendirdi: \u201cRakam b\u00fcy\u00fcrken bizim derdimiz de b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f. Demek ki olay rakamlar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcterek de\u011fil, fonksiyonlar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcterek \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclebiliyormu\u015f.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye’nin s\u00fcrekli dam\u0131zl\u0131k ithalat\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 duymas\u0131n\u0131n, kendi s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn yenilenme ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme kapasitesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan sorgulanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine i\u015faret eden Kahveci, sorunun temelinde uygulanan hayvanc\u0131l\u0131k politikalar\u0131n\u0131n bulundu\u011funu savundu.<\/p>\n

\n <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Haber Merkezi \/ T\u00fcrkiye’nin k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 et ve s\u00fct \u00fcretimindeki temel sorunlar\u0131ndan biri olan s\u00fcr\u00fc varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, dam\u0131zl\u0131k hayvan ithalat\u0131na ili\u015fkin dikkat \u00e7ekici verilerle yeniden g\u00fcndeme geldi. Tar\u0131m politikalar\u0131 uzman\u0131 Ergin Kahveci, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin sa\u011fmal inek varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile y\u0131llard\u0131r devam eden dam\u0131zl\u0131k di\u015fi ithalat\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cDert b\u00fcy\u00fcyor, s\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fcyor!\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 makalesinde, hayvanc\u0131l\u0131k politikalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne nas\u0131l yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5335,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-tarim-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5334","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5334"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5334\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5335"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5334"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5334"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5334"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}