{"id":5336,"date":"2026-08-25T10:58:00","date_gmt":"2026-08-25T07:58:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/08\/25\/cin-sut-ithalatini-sert-dusurdu-dunyada-olusan-arz-fazlasi-turkiyeyi-nasil-etkileyecek\/"},"modified":"2026-08-25T10:58:00","modified_gmt":"2026-08-25T07:58:00","slug":"cin-sut-ithalatini-sert-dusurdu-dunyada-olusan-arz-fazlasi-turkiyeyi-nasil-etkileyecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/08\/25\/cin-sut-ithalatini-sert-dusurdu-dunyada-olusan-arz-fazlasi-turkiyeyi-nasil-etkileyecek\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7in s\u00fct ithalat\u0131n\u0131 sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc! D\u00fcnyada olu\u015fan arz fazlas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;yi nas\u0131l etkileyecek?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-channel=\"121\" data-advert=\"temedya\" data-rotation=\"120\" class=\"mb-3 text-center\"><\/div>\n<div data-channel=\"121\" data-advert=\"temedya\" data-rotation=\"120\" class=\"mb-3 text-center\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Haber Merkezi \/<\/strong> K\u00fcresel s\u00fct ve s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri piyasas\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131ndan \u00c7in&#8217;de ya\u015fanan yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fim, d\u00fcnya ticaretinde yeni bir d\u00f6nemin i\u015faretlerini veriyor.<\/p>\n<p>Tar\u0131m politikalar\u0131 uzman\u0131 Ergin Kahveci, \u00c7in&#8217;in s\u00fct \u00fcretimi ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerini de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda, \u00fclkenin uzun vadede kendi \u00fcretim kapasitesini \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde art\u0131r\u0131rken s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ithalat\u0131ndaki eski y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6neminin de sona erdi\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<p>Kahveci&#8217;nin de\u011ferlendirmesi, \u00c7in&#8217;deki d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn yaln\u0131zca bu \u00fclkenin s\u00fct sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fil, Avrupa Birli\u011fi, Yeni Zelanda, ABD gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin rekabet etti\u011fi pazarlar\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan ilgilendirdi\u011fini ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n<h3>\u00c7\u0130N&#8217;\u0130N S\u00dcT \u00dcRET\u0130M\u0130 40 M\u0130LYON TONUN \u00dcZER\u0130NDE<\/h3>\n<p>\u00c7in&#8217;in s\u00fct \u00fcretiminde son birka\u00e7 on y\u0131lda ya\u015fanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. \u00dclkenin resmi istatistiklerine g\u00f6re s\u00fct \u00fcretimi 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 41,97 milyon tona kadar y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak \u00fcretimdeki kesintisiz b\u00fcy\u00fcme 2024&#8217;te bozuldu. \u00c7in Ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu verilerine g\u00f6re \u00fcretim 2024&#8217;te y\u00fczde 2,8 azalarak 40,79 milyon tona geriledi. Bu, 2018&#8217;den bu yana kaydedilen ilk y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f oldu. 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise \u00fcretim y\u00fczde 0,3 artarak 40,91 milyon tona \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Bu rakamlar \u00c7in&#8217;in \u00fcretiminin son iki y\u0131lda h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinden ziyade, 40 milyon tonun \u00fczerinde \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir yerli \u00fcretim kapasitesini korudu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<h3>\u00c7\u0130N&#8217;\u0130N KEND\u0130 KEND\u0130NE YETERL\u0130L\u0130\u011e\u0130 Y\u00dcKSELD\u0130<\/h3>\n<p>As\u0131l dikkat \u00e7ekici de\u011fi\u015fim ise \u00c7in&#8217;in yerli \u00fcretiminin toplam s\u00fct arz\u0131ndaki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ya\u015fand\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Sekt\u00f6r verilerine g\u00f6re \u00c7in&#8217;in s\u00fct ve s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde kendine yeterlilik oran\u0131 2021&#8217;de y\u00fczde 62 seviyesindeyken, 2024&#8217;te y\u00fczde 72&#8217;ye y\u00fckseldi. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde ithal s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin \u00e7i\u011f s\u00fct e\u015fde\u011feri 22,51 milyon tondan 15,87 milyon tona geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>Bu de\u011fi\u015fim, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri pazarlar\u0131ndan birinin d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan \u00fcr\u00fcne olan ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nceki y\u0131llardaki kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmemesinin nedenlerinden birini ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n<h3>\u0130THALATTA HER \u00dcR\u00dcNDE AYNI TABLO YOK<\/h3>\n<p>Bununla birlikte \u00c7in&#8217;in s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ithalat\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fcr\u00fcnleri kapsayan bir \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015ften s\u00f6z etmek do\u011fru de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>2026&#8217;n\u0131n ilk alt\u0131 ay\u0131nda \u00c7in&#8217;in toplam s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ithalat\u0131 1,4125 milyon tona ula\u015farak y\u00fczde 2,2 artt\u0131. Ancak \u00fcr\u00fcn gruplar\u0131nda ciddi ayr\u0131\u015fma ya\u015fand\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde paketli s\u00fct ithalat\u0131 y\u00fczde 6,7 gerileyerek 172,8 bin tona d\u00fc\u015ferken, b\u00fcy\u00fck ambalajl\u0131 s\u00fct tozu ithalat\u0131 y\u00fczde 0,2 azald\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k peynir ithalat\u0131 y\u00fczde 24,8, tereya\u011f\u0131 grubu y\u00fczde 13 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00c7in&#8217;deki de\u011fi\u015fimi \u201c\u00c7in art\u0131k s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc ithal etmiyor\u201d \u015feklinde de\u011fil, ithalat\u0131n \u00fcr\u00fcn baz\u0131nda yeniden \u015fekillendi\u011fi bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm olarak okumak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<h3>\u00c7\u0130N ALMAZSA BU \u00dcR\u00dcNLER NEREYE G\u0130DECEK?<\/h3>\n<p>Kahveci&#8217;nin dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fi geli\u015fmenin T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik taraf\u0131 da burada ba\u015fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in&#8217;in belirli s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde ithalat talebinin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 halinde, Yeni Zelanda, Avrupa Birli\u011fi ve di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck ihracat\u00e7\u0131 \u00fclkeler ellerindeki \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc satabilecekleri alternatif pazarlara y\u00f6nelmek zorunda kalacak.<\/p>\n<p>Bu durum \u00f6zellikle G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya, Orta Do\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika&#8217;da rekabeti art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00c7in&#8217;in ithalat\u0131ndaki gerileme T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan iki farkl\u0131 sonu\u00e7 do\u011furabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Bir taraftan \u00c7in&#8217;in b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 pazar bo\u015fluklar\u0131 T\u00fcrk s\u00fct sanayisi i\u00e7in yeni ihracat f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 yaratabilirken, di\u011fer taraftan b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u00fct ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin hedef pazarlar\u0131na daha agresif fiyatlarla y\u00f6nelmesi T\u00fcrk ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc zorlayabilir.<\/p>\n<h3>K\u00dcRESEL F\u0130YAT BASKISI T\u00dcRK \u00dcRET\u0130C\u0130Y\u0130 DE \u0130LG\u0130LEND\u0130R\u0130YOR<\/h3>\n<p>\u00c7in&#8217;deki geli\u015fmelerin yaln\u0131zca ihracat\u00e7\u0131 sanayiciler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan de\u011ferlendirilmemesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnya piyasas\u0131nda s\u00fct tozu ve di\u011fer s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 halinde, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki y\u00fcksek \u00fcretim maliyetleriyle k\u00fcresel fiyatlar aras\u0131ndaki makas\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 riski bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu nedenle \u00c7in&#8217;in s\u00fct ithalat\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmeler, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki \u00e7i\u011f s\u00fct fiyatlar\u0131ndan sanayicinin rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcne ve ithalat-ihracat politikalar\u0131na kadar uzanan geni\u015f bir alan\u0131 ilgilendiriyor.<\/p>\n<h3>KAHVEC\u0130: \u00c7\u0130N&#8217;\u0130N OLU\u015eTURDU\u011eU BO\u015eLUK T\u00dcRK\u0130YE \u0130\u00c7\u0130N HEM R\u0130SK HEM FIRSAT<\/h3>\n<p>Ergin Kahveci, \u00c7in&#8217;in k\u00fcresel s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri piyasas\u0131ndaki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekerek, ithalattaki de\u011fi\u015fimin d\u00fcnya ticaretinin y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc yeniden \u015fekillendirdi\u011fini de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in&#8217;in \u00e7ekildi\u011fi veya talebini azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn gruplar\u0131nda \u00f6zellikle G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya \u00fclkelerinin giderek daha \u00f6nemli hale geldi\u011fine i\u015faret eden Kahveci&#8217;ye g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin de bu yeni ticaret haritas\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan takip etmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tablo T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan iki tarafl\u0131 bir risk-f\u0131rsat dengesi olu\u015fturuyor: \u00c7in&#8217;in b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 alanlarda yeni ihracat f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 do\u011farken, \u00c7in&#8217;e sat\u0131\u015f yapamayan b\u00fcy\u00fck ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin mevcut pazarlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelmesi fiyat rekabetini daha da sertle\u015ftirebilir.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-source py-3 small \">\n    <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Haber Merkezi \/ K\u00fcresel s\u00fct ve s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri piyasas\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131ndan \u00c7in&#8217;de ya\u015fanan yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fim, d\u00fcnya ticaretinde yeni bir d\u00f6nemin i\u015faretlerini veriyor. Tar\u0131m politikalar\u0131 uzman\u0131 Ergin Kahveci, \u00c7in&#8217;in s\u00fct \u00fcretimi ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerini de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda, \u00fclkenin uzun vadede kendi \u00fcretim kapasitesini \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde art\u0131r\u0131rken s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ithalat\u0131ndaki eski y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6neminin de sona &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5337,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5336","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-tarim-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5336","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5336"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5336\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5337"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5336"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5336"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topraktaumutvar.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5336"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}